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OPEC+ Producers Are Caught Between Diverging Oil Forecasts

Analysts at producer and consumer agencies have different takes on how much the world needs. Analysts from the International Energy Agency and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are growing even further apart on how much oil the world needs. The two agencies have updated their forecasts for the first time since the wider OPEC+ …

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U.S. Oil Futures Draw Renewed Interest from Hedge Funds: Kemp

Portfolio investors purchased petroleum contracts for the first time in seven weeks as traders squared up short positions ahead of a meeting of OPEC⁺ ministers to decide production policy in the second half of 2024. Hedge funds and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 21 million barrels in the six most important futures and …

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Oil Price Forecasts Cut as Supply Risks Trend Lower, Reuters Poll Finds

Summary Brent 2024 forecast lowered to $84.01 a barrel WTI forecast cut to $79.56 a barrel OPEC+ to meet on June 2, seen keeping output cuts in place Price support seen at $80 if cuts extended -analyst For table of crude price forecasts, click (Reuters) – Analysts have lowered their 2024 oil price forecast for …

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IEA Trims 2024 Oil Demand Growth Forecast, Widening Gap with OPEC View

The International Energy Agency (IEA) trimmed its forecast for 2024 oil demand growth on Wednesday, further expanding the chasm between it and oil producer group OPEC regarding the outlook for global oil demand this year. The Paris-based energy watchdog lowered its growth outlook for this year by 140,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 1.1 million …

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EIA Cuts World Oil Demand Forecast for 2024, Hikes Output Expectations

World oil demand is expected to grow lesser this year than earlier estimates and output should grow faster than thought previously, resulting in a more balanced market, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday. The agency hiked its production forecasts from regions outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), while also lowering …

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Goldman Sachs Hikes Brent crude Forecasts for 2024 and 2025

Goldman Sachs on Thursday raised its Brent crude oil price forecasts, projecting $86 a barrel for the second half of 2024, up from $85 previously, and $82 for 2025, up from $80.It said prices were likely to stay at the higher end of its forecast range, citing disappointing U.S. supply and a likely sticky geopolitical …

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Morgan Stanley Lifts Q3 Brent Crude Oil Forecast on Geopolitical Risk

Morgan Stanley has raised its Brent crude oil price forecast for the third quarter of this year by $4 per barrel to $94, citing geopolitical risks. “That the degree of geopolitical risk in key oil producing regions has increased recently seems clear and uncontroversial,” the bank said in a note dated Monday. Brent futures rose …

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Odds of $100 Oil Rise as Supply Shocks Convulse the Market

Intensifies fears of commodity-driven inflation resurgence Bloomberg News When oil prices jumped above US$90 a barrel just days ago, military tensions between Israel and Iran were the immediate trigger. But the rally’s foundations went deeper — to global supply shocks that are intensifying fears of a commodity-driven inflation resurgence. A recent move by Mexico to slash its …

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Raymond James Expects Global Oil, Gas Upstream Capex Spending to Rise 3% in 2024

Brokerage Raymond James says its global industry survey of upstream oil companies shows an uptick of 3% in capex spending in 2024, plateauing after 2023. ** Says global spending in 2024 would mark a fourth consecutive increase, albeit the slowest one – there is, however, a cumulative drop of 33% from the peak level of …

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BofA Hikes 2024 Oil Forecasts on Tighter Supply, Geopolitical Risks

Bank of America (BofA) Global Research has raised its 2024 Brent and WTI oil price forecasts, citing escalating geopolitical tensions and the OPEC+ producer group maintaining supply curbs. The bank now expects Brent and WTI crude prices this year to average $86 and $81 per barrel respectively, with prices of both peaking around $95 per …

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