Forecasts

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US NatGas Futures Drop in Quiet Trade; Frigid Weather Drives Up Spot Rates

(Reuters) – U.S. natural gas futures dropped to a near one-week low in holiday-thinned trade on Monday on forecasts of less cold weather starting late January, even as spot rates climbed as frigid cold conditions for most of the U.S. boosted demand for heating. Front-month gas futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile …

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IMF Lowers 2025 Saudi Arabia Growth Forecast on Extended Oil Production Cuts

(Reuters) – The International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2025 GDP growth projection for Saudi Arabia to 3.3%, mainly due to extended oil production cuts, it said on Friday in the latest update to its global outlook. It also trimmed its 2024 growth estimate for the Gulf state to 1.4%. In its October Regional Economic …

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EIA Expects Oil Prices to be Under Pressure From Oversupply in 2025, 2026

By Shariq Khan NEW YORK, Jan 14 (Reuters) – Oil prices will be under pressure in 2025 and 2026 as global production growth outpaces demand, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday in its Short-Term Energy Outlook report. Many analysts expect an oversupplied oil market this year, after demand growth slowed sharply in 2024 …

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JP Morgan Forecasts Brent Declining to $73/bbl in 2025 on Excess Supply

JP Morgan on Thursday forecast Brent oil prices to decline to $73 per barrel in 2025, as it sees a shift in the global oil market from a balance in 2024 to a large 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) surplus in the coming year. “Assuming that OPEC alliance stays put at current production levels …

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J.P. Morgan Sees Brent Oil Price Averaging $73 a Barrel in 2025

(Reuters) – J.P. Morgan sees the price of Brent oil averaging $73 per barrel (/bbl) in 2025 and expects it to close the year firmly below $70/bbl, with U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $64/bbl, the bank said in a note on Friday. “Our view on 2025 has remained largely unchanged over the past year: we …

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Goldman Sachs Expects Oil Prices to Average Around $80/bbl in 2024

(Reuters) – Goldman Sachs expects Brent prices to average around $80 per barrel this year, despite a 2024 deficit and geopolitical uncertainty, citing an anticipated 0.4 mb/d surplus next year, the bank said in a note on Thursday. “Our base case is that Brent stays in a $70-85 range, with high spare capacity limiting price …

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Global Oil Market Faces a Million-Barrel Glut Next Year, Says IEA

Supply from the U.S., Brazil, Canada and Guyana is set to grow Oil drums sit stacked in a warehouse at Jacobi Oil Service, Inc. in Floyds Knobs, Ind. Global oil markets are facing a surplus next year as Chinese demand continues to falter. Photo by Luke Sharrett /Bloomberg Global oil markets face a surplus of …

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World Faces Oil Surplus in 2025 on Weak Demand, IEA Says

Summary Sees supply exceeding demand by over 1 mln bpd in 2025 IEA raises 2024 demand growth forecast by 60,000 bpd Leaves 2025 demand growth projection steady at 990,000 bpd (Reuters) – Global oil supply will exceed demand in 2025 even if OPEC+ cuts remain in place, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday, …

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Global Energy Consumption Forecasting in the Age of Climate Change – Yogi Schulz

By Yogi Schulz Energy consumption forecasting has become more complex due to economic and population growth uncertainties. While the pace of the energy transition will not determine global energy consumption, it will determine the mix of various energy sources throughout the forecast period. Forecasting how the mix of various energy sources will evolve adds more …

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OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Global Oil Demand Growth View Again

(Reuters) – OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 reflecting data received so far this year and also lowered its projection for next year, marking the producer group’s third consecutive downward revision. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in a monthly report said world oil demand will rise …

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